Most U.S. Adults Will Have Heart Problems By 2050: Report

June 4, 2024 – By 2050, more than 6 in 10 U.S. adults will have heart disease, according to a new projection by the American Heart Association., is a prediction that Americans are unlikely to make major health and lifestyle changes during the next 3 decades to reduce their risk of health problems like heart attacks, strokes, heart disease, heart failure, irregular heart rhythm, or problems with their blood vessels.

“The findings of these important advisories predict a dire human and economic toll from heart disease and stroke if changes are not made,” American Heart Association Chief Executive Officer Nancy Brown said in aThe Heart Association suggests eight lifestyle and health areas people can focus on to reduce their risk of cardiovascular disease:The Heart Association report predicts that twice as many people will have strokes in 2050, compared to just 10 million in 2020.

The report authors noted some positive expected changes in heart-healthy behavior, including that more people will get enough physical activity over the next 30 years. But in 2050, 1 in 4 people will still not have a healthy activity level. Cigarette smoking is predicted to decline, but 8% of people will likely still smoke. Dietary changes are not widely expected, and an estimated 150 million people in the U.S. will eat what the association considers a poor diet.

Along with an aging population, the researchers said systemic racism and access to health care would be drivers of the predicted rise in cardiovascular disease, or CVD. “We found larger increases in the prevalence of CVD and risk factors, and in the number of people with these conditions, among people from racially and ethnically diverse backgrounds,” Karen Joynt Maddox, MD, MPH, an associate professor of medicine at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, said in a statement."Some of this is due to demographic shifts in the U.S., with projections suggesting that Asian and Hispanic populations will nearly double by 2060.

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