Scepticism on 5km rule as Sutton says Melbourne could miss targets

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Victoria's Chief Health Officer warns that Melbourne is at risk of failing to hit the daily coronavirus case targets set for the relaxation of restrictions, as experts question the health value of the state's five-kilometre limit on movement. covid19 ...

James Wood, an applied mathematician at the University of New South Wales' School of Public Health and Community Medicine, argued that while border closures had stopped infections spreading between Australian states and from Melbourne to regional areas, he did not see the value of the five-kilometre movement restriction.

"You can make an argument that if people travel further they might have more incidental stops like grabbing a cup of coffee or going to a service station or something like that, but they are pretty minor sorts of things; they're not [the] sort of things we see that have led to big outbreaks." His comments followed Premier Daniel Andrews' indication on Sunday that the movement policy could be extended if Melburnians failed to observe strict coronavirus restrictions on gatherings.

 

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The media darling so desperate to stay on the stage....

When you shut a city down, the numbers will naturally go down. The measure of success is opening up and then driving numbers down. That is the benchmark NSW has set.

Can someone please show me peer reviewed scientific data that proves a city is only safe to come out of lockdown when less than 5 people have a virus. YouknowItMakesSense

I wonder if this is about ego and reputation now as in I am not going to be berated if a third wave arrives. This attitude leading to ultra conservatism?

The website says there's no restrictions on leaving home with the next step. As far as I'm concerned, 5km rule is a restriction. So many of us have done the right thing since Feb. I'll be pretty annoyed if that suddenly changes.

Sadly... Melb people feel aggrieved about more stringent lockdowns aka the rest of Oz. This is leading to a sense of entitlement to bend the rules a bit the balance the scales. This is thinking that will see the pain continue into 2021. Melbournians all - hold the line steady!

I question the abilities of both DanielAndrewsMP and VictorianCHO. So far their leadership has been a complete debacle - simply ruining lives and locking Victorians up for 7 MONTHS. What can Victorians do to challenge this? ResignDanielAndrews ResignVictorianCHO

Keep going Brett. I’m even getting to recognise my neighbours within the zone. People say hello. It’s working!

Yep, that’s what happens when a person that’s connected to the chadstone block of cases comes into regional Victoria and infects 2 other people, he travelled around Sunbury, broady & travelled on the upfield, Sunbury and Craigieburn lines. god knows how many more he has infected

You’re not helping!

Another liar about who is running this circus!

it’s been proven on a number of occasions that Brett Sutton is the state controller only in title.. so what he thinks is hardly consequential.. Andrews will make the decisions he deems appropriate..

It's all a 'What if' of fear.

My family and friends in NSW spent a great day at the beach yesterday. No masks but with social distancing. They then enjoyed a fish supper at their favourite restaurant.

Looks like you are channeling the Murdoch press again Need to be better that this The Age

😂😂😂 people still think this mob is doing a great job! Keep voting them yeah? Pretty sure the libs did not cause the same amount of unemployment and business closure as is incompetent government. But keep voting them yeah 👍

And we should believe and respect this charlatan why?

Once again a headline and byline in The Age that does not correspond to the content of the report. *One* (a mathematician) not “some” experts you report on are skeptical. The three other experts you quote (Sutton, plus two others) say no such thing. Misleading by The Age.

The headline doesn’t match the story. Of the 3 experts interviewed, one, a mathematician, questioned the usefulness of the 5k radius restriction. The expert epidemiologist and the infectious disease modeller both said it was helpful. So, 2 out of 3 experts supported it.

The targets set by Dictator Dan and his muppet Sutton were always unrealistic. The Geni is already out of the bottle. 5 a day for 14 days straight - he's dreamin'. Why do you think Dan wanted 12 months emergency powers? To keep people in a perennial state of Stockholm syndrome

Isnt there anyone ın the ranks of thıs party to front these clowns , ıts not a very good look for the party..premıer and cho have the look of... what do we do next?...no plan B, just wıshıng ıt turns out well.

Imagine if we replaced coronavirus cases with flu cases instead of their deaths. We would be locked indoors for centuries XD

It’s not so much about the ‘scientific’ evidence, it’s all about the psychological evidence. If you have to stop, think and evaluate your movements you are constantly reminded to be safe, to socially distance and to mindful of something that can’t be seen.

Dan Clusters 19 and CHO Sutton have absolutely no clue and no plan!!!!

At this point this media tart will do whatever it takes to stay in the limelight

If only they’d made it 4km...I could have been in Noosa laying on a beach today

Tell them to get NSW contact tracing in place and catch up.. faxes and courier pigeons are not working! DanielAndrewsMP

To those who complain, what do you guys want? No restrictions, a free society like before the pandemic? With everything open and cases/hospitalisation/deaths rising? Go to the GP? Suffer at home and recover like the flu? But it’s not the flu. Complain too many are dying?

What else to expect from a dumb ass GP

Wilson kills of the recovery of Victoria and places the country at risk virally and ultimately economically.

Let’s move on from all the negative hype. The 5km restriction has no medical ground for being effective. We’ve come this far, what’s another few weeks. We need strategies to live with it not lock it up and hope it goes away. Like the flu, you can’t control it just minimise it

Be easier to hit our targets if they stopped moving them around

Dan Andrews and this dickhead is destroying us, psychologically and financially! We need a riot to stop them!

We were never meant to hit such an impossible target.

How are public health officials divided? One obscure Maths nerd has an opinion with no risk assessed, consequence modelled, science driven, non partisan time lined alternative presented. Another Shit article from the age.

People STILL backing Dan and Sutton. My god, how thick can you be. Goalposts shifting by the day. Blaming the community for their failures. Vic has highest deaths in Aus. CLEARLY THEY DID NOT DO A GOOD JOB. All they had to do was isolate the elderly and nursing homes. Literally.

If NSW can manage it then all this is is an admission of total incompetence at contact tracing. I'm about ready to start a riot if this shit goes on any longer

They are killing us one cut at a time and by the time it is one thousand cuts this state will be underwater with a broken , mentally ill , unemployed citizens all because we put our faith in these 2 fools that are incompetent

After the inquiry and the responses provided the premier - chief health officer have lost all credibility- l am calling it fake news! Lies - fear - control! Prove us wrong. You make the numbers as you go.

VictorianCHO time to move on. If you can’t get the job done, piss off and get out of the way.

who cares about these targets! fucking let me move!

I would've thought the Kilmore infection from Chadstone answers that question on the 5 k limit quite clearly

Dick Dan and Sutton shifting the goalpost again. Always doom and gloom from these two wa*kers.

Why do I feel blame is being shifted from government who stuffed up to the general community?

The dictators target is like the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, always seemingly in reach but never attainable. Please sack this lunatic.

As we have now hit the same number of active cases as when NSW opened up with bars, gyms, indoor dining, office spaces. Comparisons are fair. Why are they able to and we are still under severe restrictions? Nearly all shop fronts closed, no dining, no freedom of movement?

Only obstacle is the ongoing failures in contact tracing IMO DanielAndrewsMP & VictorianCHO Brett Sutton are both past their ‘used by date’ Time for fresh eyes & new perspective. Maybe JillHennessyMP? vicpol auspol springst COVID19Vic Leadership democracy HumanRights

Its crazy! I feel like im in a bubble I cant burst, a nightmare I cant wake up from.. so depressed and lonely... cant take much more of this DanielAndrewsMP Please stop killing people! Suicide is real... people are dying every day.

Can’t believe we’ve still gotta get to 0 cases for 14 days straight eventually 😂

The previous 30-50 target was always going to be reached. This is more genuinely uncertain. I'd prefer it wasn't, but it's to be expected. It's modeling, and with numbers that low one super spreader kills you.

Is the Age an independent newspaper ?

If we’re waiting for 5 cases then we’ll never get out of this, numbers weren’t even that low when restaurants and gyms were open. This is going to drag out forever, a vaccine can’t come soon enough.

He talks as if it’s our fault we’re not going to hit our targets, not because of the fact they can’t adequately contact trace, even though they’ve had more than 6 months to put something in place. Good grief this bloke gives me the shits.

What’s with the 14 day average too. Seems very arbitrary and makes hitting the target very difficult.

VictorianCHO Don't. You. Dare.

I must have been listening to a different presser sumeyyailanbey because that’s not the message I heard? He said it was ‘line ball’ & has said numerous times the tail is unpredictable.

They need to stop with the Casedemic. The science opposes the path they're taking WhyAreTheyDoingThis?

This bloke and his Boss need to out a tie back on and get back to Thier Real jobs. PS have a shave.

I'm sick of seeing this clown on TV

Dan and Sutton

Dr. Doom and Gloom at it again...... he gives no hope to people, always comparing us with the worse cases aboard then what other states have done to temporary control the virus and keep it at a manageable level and let the people go on with their life!

What you all thought they would say we can open get it though your heads the murder will not open till the 23 November

The 5km limit didn’t stop the “Chadstone Cluster” did it.... still managed to get from Frankston to Chadstone to regional Victoria!

We r going nowhere

Most Victorians are questioning the expertise of the CHO and Premier

The 14 day average without health care and aged care numbers is under 3, this is just more spin from a government who has failed and are deflecting the blame onto the public 🤬

Good on The Age. Just what Victorians need for a headline. Cause it hasn't been depressing enough this last 3 months. DanMustGo

The dog ate his homework again

Why don’t you ask the useless prick what he is doing about it?

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