"We have averted exactly this prediction [after strict social distancing rules were enacted]," Dr Sutton said.
"[The modelling] uses assumptions based on the experience of countries overseas as well as data from Australia to inform what might have occurred had we only had a case isolation and contact processes in place without social distancing measures."We saw this modelling and we changed the future two months ago by virtue of what we saw."
The projected number of infections passed on by a person with coronavirus has dropped to 0.5 – at the height of the pandemic, this figure was 2.But if restrictions are lifted too quickly or too broadly, the modelling by Monash University, Doherty Institute and Department of Health epidemiology experts, shows that the coronavirus would spread rapidly.
How can they say this when a country (Sweden) who has double the population of Melbourne and no lockdowns has only had 1580 deaths and already hit their peak.
Bullshit if we didn’t wear seat belts the road toll would be horrific as well we had 90k at the mcg the week before lockdowns started and no fallout Spain and Italy had a soccer match with 48k and it caused carnage
Thank goodness for Daniel Andrews and Vic CMO.
i call B.S DantheBully
Huh? They’ve released this “modeling” which is hypothetical, and now proven to be utter rubbish, simply to prop up their shaky decision making..
Feels a bit like a pat yourself on the back piece. In reality majority of high population centres were already self isolating before any significant restrictions were introduced in Vic. The people flattened the curve not the government.
peterc_150 Pretty sure it wasn’t just Victoria that was self isolating. But ok - Victoria saved us all from corona.
'If'!
G.I.G.O......
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