John Curtice issues SNP and Reform exit poll 'health warning'

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JOHN Curtice has issued a “health warning” to the exit poll that predicted the SNP could be reduced to fewer seats than Nigel Farage’s Reform.

Analysis of the exit poll conducted by ITV said the party would scoop up six seats from the SNP – a prospect Scottish Tory sources have reportedly dismissed.Speaking on the BBC, Curtice said: “It’s already been emphasised from the beginning of the night, inevitably we have fewer sampling points in Scotland than elsewhere.

Curtice said: “Basically what we have got in the exit poll is a lot of places where there is a small that Reform will win the seat, where we’re talking about 20-30% chance and we add up these probabilities and that’s how we get to the figure 13.“But to be honest the figure could end up being quite a lot less than that, or indeed, rather more, depending on how the cookie crumbles.”

“He’s probably going to have a very substantial overall majority and that of course is the crucial thing we’re trying to find out.”We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.

 

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