Exploring how uncertainty motivates actions in epidemics

  • 📰 medical_xpress
  • ⏱ Reading Time:
  • 36 sec. here
  • 2 min. at publisher
  • 📊 Quality Score:
  • News: 18%
  • Publisher: 51%

Health Health Headlines News

Health Health Latest News,Health Health Headlines

In an epidemic, we often focus on three staple metrics: Who does or doesn't have the disease, the rate at which people are contracting the disease, and the mortality rates. What's often left out, as explored in a new book by Jenny Trinitapoli, a professor in the Department of Sociology, is the role of uncertainty in the way individuals make decisions. The book, 'An Epidemic of Uncertainty: Navigating HIV and Young Adulthood in Malawi,' was recently published by the University of Chicago Press.

, from selective samples, from people who are sick or who likely already have the condition. I'm arguing that the longitudinal, population-level view is essential for understanding the arc of HIV in this community and disease patterns broadly. The data we collect from clinical samples enrolled in HIV care is important, but it's insufficient for understanding the epidemic.

"High levels of uncertainty or ambiguity about one's HIV status is actually a characteristic of the epidemic; it's not a problem of ignorance," she says."One stereotype that circulates widely is that Malawians don't want to know their HIV status, or that they won't get tested because they don't want to face reality. That's completely wrong."

The second surprise, she says, was how stable uncertainty was in the population. While Malawi experiences a particularly severe HIV epidemic, most people don't have HIV. At epidemic levels of around 10% prevalence, about 40% of respondents, at any given time, said that they didn't know their HIV status.

 

Thank you for your comment. Your comment will be published after being reviewed.
Please try again later.
We have summarized this news so that you can read it quickly. If you are interested in the news, you can read the full text here. Read more:

 /  🏆 101. in HEALTH

Health Health Latest News, Health Health Headlines