WA border reopening delay achieves little health benefit, Omicron modelling from UWA suggests

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Independent Omicron modelling from UWA indicates that despite the state's delayed opening, it will be hard to achieve a higher level of immunity in WA than what was in place on February 5.

The delay in reopening Western Australia to the rest of the country will achieve very little in the way of public health, according to a WA infectious disease expert.But new data suggests waning immunity counters benefits from the delayUniversity of Western Australia professor George Milne has prepared new modelling on the Omicron variant, and had in the past advised WA Health on the COVID-19 pandemic.

"And in fact, coincidentally, we're showing that around about the time that the border would have opened, that there is a level of immunity in the population that it's hard to get higher than."Premier Mark McGowan announced last week the border opening was being delayed indefinitely

 

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Rubbish - look at the death rates in eastern states and rotate on it. You rusted on LNP mob at ABC can’t wait until WA opens borders just to run a defamation on MarkMcGowanMP when things go pear shaped. Keep westernAustralia closed until after election MarkMcGowan

I guess staying alive for older cohorts isn’t counted as much of a side health benefit.

If they are basing on the eastern states they are not telling you the rest of the story, that is of economic impact of many people staying home to reduce peak.

nick_coatsworth We all know it’s just delaying the inevitable !

Funny how the subservient McGowan zealots were so quick to point towards modelling when his highness gave his approval (and rightly so, even though it was self serving). Now when modelling and science shows something his royal highness does not preach, its suddenly questionable.

Universities.... maybe conflict of interest?

ABCDFU and your bias

Since when has saving lives not been a health benefit?

It's probably saving them 15 deaths a day or so. Not so 'little' if you avoid dying...

Is preventing deaths a health benefit? I would have thought so.

GemmaTognini Clearly anti-McGowan gov't bias. 🤣🤣🤣

True - the border is useless

nick_coatsworth You forgot to consider the political science modelling that shows considerable political benefits

Bullshit.

Health benefits of not havign a plane full of people dying like in NSW and Victoria? I respect WA!

You are PMO propagandists and nothing else. Shame on you

Anything that delays a pandemic from infecting the state and saves lives can hardly be called 'of little benefit.'

nick_coatsworth Clearly the modelling is shit😅

What happened to the doherty modelling? Forgotten already?

the health advice is coming from the iron ore companies

McGowan firing Health Workers who prefer acquiring natural immunity is Unforgivable! WA residents are now paying the price Elective surgery waiting times have blown out with one in 20 patients now forced to wait longer than a year for their operation.

As my sister lies dying of Covid unvaccinated in a Victorian nursing home Any delay in WA opening if used to fully vaccinate all agedcare and kids is worthwhile MarkMcGowanMP drkerrynphelps WAtoday westaustralian abcperth

You didn’t need any modelling to work that out. The WA government is cooked! Vote them out!!

How many boosters do you need until you grow a pair, WA? 😂

There is no other future than everyone on the planet having to deal with this. Everything has gone right, now you accept reality.

Less funerals? 🤷‍♀️ ABC WorkExperienceHeadlines

What a load of bullshit!! You lot at have joined the MacGowan 'pile on' and you should be ashamed of yourselves. I hope Morrison guts your funding before the election.

OPEN the GOD DAMN borders SkidMark McClown!!

UWA the breeding ground for Liberals who love money and care little for everyday aussies

UWA is ground zero for Neo-lib conservatives in WA. You'll forgive me if I wait for some more modelling.

His idea that WA would only have peak cases for 2 weeks is very optimistic, more optimistic than what is happening in the eastern states. Then the deaths follow and keep going. We know WA has to re-open soon but let's not fib about what is going to happen.

Rubbish Modelling obviously written by LNP supporters. 🤣

Umm closed borders people don’t die. Says University from everyone

Big surprise!!!! It just achieves good survey results for an unhinged premier … worshipped by naive hermits.

No.

and UWA employ Peter Van Oxymoron as a professor so we are all well aware of UWA lack of cred. Give it up WA are leading the Country in saving lives

Little benefit.. ill take an extra 7 months to live any day.

Modelling didn't detect Omicron - is modelling even a reliable tool when the parameters cannot possibly be clearly defined? Covid19 is not a predictable disease. The 80% adult double dose modelling that Vic and NSW relied upon wasn't successful. Better to keep people safe.

Yes I'm sure West Australians are looking at the Eastern States daily case numbers of infection and death and saying geez I wish that were us.

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