Excess deaths rise to 11,000 in research council's latest grim Covid-19 update

The estimated excess deaths from natural causes between May 6 and July 7 is two-and-a-half times the official Covid-19 death toll of 4,453.

Their findings supported other evidence indicating that the pandemic's acceleration in the Western Cape is losing momentum. The Medical Research Council has estimated excess deaths relative to a revised predicted number based on the drop during lockdown. Researchers explain: 'The period has been determined based on when an upturn in the number of natural deaths became apparent. Parts do not sum to the whole because office closures due to Covid-19 may have led to registration of deaths at other offices which may not be in the same area, and random fluctuation at the point at which the baseline is determined.

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