WHO says coronavirus modeling helps countries plan ahead

- Coronavirus models that predict the rise and fall of infections help countries plan ahead and prepare, Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, the World Health Organization technical lead on Covid-19, said Friday.

Van Kerkhove said the estimates help “get countries ready for how to build the workforce: how many contract tracers do we need, how many clinicians and nurses and medical professionals do we need, how many beds do we need in particular ICU or oxygen support, ventilatory support, treatment centers, et cetera?”

Models work best when they help countries and communities prevent their forecasts from coming to fruition. “We also know that there are tools that we have that could prevent these numbers from becoming realities,” she said. “For me, one of the most critical values of these models is to ensure that we take the right precautions, we put the right emphasis in these interventions where they need to be done, so that these numbers do not become reality,” she added.

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