US coronavirus death projection lowered but official warns of ‘second wave’ | Malay Mail

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NEW YORK, April 8 — An influential university model on the US coronavirus pandemic on Wednesday scaled back its projected death toll by 26 per cent to 60,000 but a federal health official warned of a second wave of infections if Americans relax “social distancing” practices. The downward...

Wednesday, 08 Apr 2020 11:29 PM MYT

Those assessments in recent days, including an apparent levelling out in hospitalisations in New York state — the US epicentre of the pandemic — are tempered by a persistent climb in the US death toll, which rose by more than 1,900 on Tuesday as some 30,000 new infections were reported. “What’s really important is that people don’t turn these early signs of hope into releasing from the 30 days to stop the spread —it’s really critical,” said Deborah Birx, the coordinator of the White House coronavirus task force, referring to guidelines aimed at reducing the spread of the virus.

The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation model is one of several that the White House task force has cited. It now projects US deaths at more than 60,000 by August 4, down from the nearly 82,000 fatalities it had forecast on Tuesday. “Every single measure of this pandemic is an undercount. Every. Single. One,” Mark Levine, chairman of the City Council’s health committee, wrote on Twitter. “Confirmed cases? Skewed by lack of testing. Hospitalizations? Skewed by huge # of sick people we are sending home because there’s no room in ERs. Deaths? Massive undercount because of dying at home.”

 

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