Alberta Predicts Between 400 To 6,660 Deaths From COVID-19

EDMONTON — Premier Jason Kenney says forecast models for the COVID-19 crisis in Alberta predict anywhere from 400 to 6,600 deaths in the months to come.

Alberta is under strict public health orders that clamp down on non-essential businesses and restrict public gatherings to no more than 15 people.Alberta Premier Jason Kenney updates media on measures taken to help with COVID-19, in Edmonton on March 20, 2020. Under the elevated scenario, infections would peak earlier, at the start of May, leading to as many as one million infections and between 500 and 6,600 deaths.

We are confident that our health system will be able to cope, and that we have the supplies on hand to get the job done.“We are confident that our health system will be able to cope, and that we have the supplies on hand to get the job done,” said Kenney.

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Experts look to rates of hospitalization, ICU admission to predict COVID-19 curvePublic-health officials, infectious disease experts and provincial data show that B.C.'s and Alberta’s efforts to flatten the curve may be starting to pay off. By contrast, Ontario and Quebec appear to be in an uphill battle ☹️ that might work in countries with universal health care, it won't work in the USA where perhaps 100 million people no longer can afford a doctor bill much less a hospital stay, as such millions could die in that country before any 'flattening' will occur Alberta and B.C. have similar populations. Quebec and Ontario also have similar populations. Ontario has had a high number of travellers in and out. Ontario testing has lagged.
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