Will Australia’s health system get overrun?

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Experts say one Australian state may surpass its health capacity in just two more weeks. But what’s our plan as COVID-19 worsens? Coronavirus

“If this hockey stick doesn’t change that much, we’ll be out of ICU beds in New South Wales – Victoria will be behind that – by April 10,” he said on“And in that case, ICU physicians will be faced with some very difficult decisions. And overseas, 30 per cent to 40 per cent of ICU beds are filled with young people.”

Prof Fitzgerald’s main worry is that health personnel are already being stretched through various involved tasks, such as undertaking contact tracing to figure out how the virus is spreading, collecting data and implementing enhanced infection control procedures. The second tier involves health facilities creating additional internal capacity. This might see patients sent to other facilities, elective surgery cancelled, or patients being discharged from hospital early if it’s unnecessary.The third tier involves creating new capacity, through putting money into opening up closed hospitals or taking over alternative facilities such as hotels.

While this last scenario is a chilling one, Prof Fitzgerald doesn’t believe Australia will reach the same fate as Italy.

 

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