Why Everything Is Closing For Coronavirus: It’s Called ‘Flattening The Curve’

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Why are there so many closings and cancellations with fewer than 2,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases? Because public health officials know what's coming.

What gives? Why so many extraordinary cancellations, whose costs will tally into the billions, for so few cases? ” All these decisions by public officials and businesses are aimed at one goal: slowing down the spread of the virus to avoid overburdening a healthcare system that doesn’t have the infrastructure to handle a sudden surge of tens of thousands of cases at once. Without mass closings, that surge is exactly what will happen, just asIt’s called “flattening the curve.

Basically, if you assume a certain number of cases are inevitably going to occur—which epidemiologists can somewhat predict based on how the disease is behaving—continuing business-as-usual allows cases to escalate rapidly in just a few weeks, spiking so high at once that they completely overwhelm hospitals. In such a scenario—such as Italy is facing now—

 

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actually the reduction of interactions reducers the total area under the curve versus 'flattening the curve', a big difference

The stock market clearly knows more about the Corona Virus than what the government is disclosing. Steven Magee

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